πŸ”­ The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global β€” Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm β€” and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024?

Resolved :No1%
6
7
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction1% (0.2% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
82.9
Community Peer Score
8.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ† Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup πŸ†
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China
South China Sea
China
Philippines

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