MetaculusM

Question

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 1,000,000 or more inhabitants before 2100?

3

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction50% (50% - 77%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 22, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2080

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

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Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 22, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2080

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Toyota is building a $10 billion smart city at the base of Mount Fuji, and will soon move in its first residents

Business Insider•Jan 24, 2025

World's first 'city of the future' welcomes first residents who'll live there rent-free... but there's a catch

Daily Mail•Jan 24, 2025

Dubai’s ceaseless boom is putting strains on its residents

Associated Press•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch