Question

Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters122

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

54.6

Community Peer Score

27.8

median 10.0%mean 15.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Black Death

History

Human mortality from H5N1

United States

Medicine

Virology

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

20%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Comments

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