Question

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction189k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>400k

...

0.2%

112k

189k

297k

14.0%

Authors:

RyanBeck maxslangenkamp

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Oligonucleotide synthesis

Artificial gene synthesis

DNA synthesis

Genetics

Synthetic biology

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?

2029-02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck maxslangenkamp

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Oligonucleotide synthesis

Artificial gene synthesis

DNA synthesis

Genetics

Synthetic biology

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When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?

2029-02

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If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

Make a Prediction

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?

Comments

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?