🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election?

14
40
182 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 182

Make a Prediction

CandidatesMe
ResolvedDonald Trump
23.5%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.1%
Kamala Harris (& Others)
76.3%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Donald Trump

Community Baseline Score
17.7
Community Peer Score
26.8
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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