Question

Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters180

Community Prediction9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 9%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

median 9.0%mean 14.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Bird flu infections more widespread among US dairy workers than thought – study

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

Is It Time to Worry About Bird Flu?

Time•Nov 14, 2024

Bird Flu Outbreak: Do Human Cases Mean Future Lockdowns?

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch