Question

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

Resolved :No

1 comment1

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

12.4

Community Peer Score

15.2

median 30.0%mean 35.2%

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Authors:

Anthony

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Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

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Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

MetaculusM

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?