Group

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

13 comments13

7 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

1,000 bases

5,000 bases

Make a Prediction

Capability

resolution

Capability

median

PDF

Authors:

RyanBeck maxslangenkamp

Opened:

May 31, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2031

Nuclear Threat Initiative

Synthetic biology

Biochemistry

Biotechnology

Oligonucleotide synthesis

Artificial gene synthesis

DNA synthesis

Enzymes are the engines of life − machine learning tools could help scientists design new ones to tackle disease and climate change

The Conversation•Feb 14, 2025

Can Google's new research assistant AI give scientists 'superpowers'?

New Scientist•Feb 19, 2025

Google says it has made a chip that can be more than a billion times faster than the fastest supercomputers

Independent•Feb 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10-06

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

2044-10-27

Comments

? comments