Question

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

median 35.0%mean 36.0%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

History

Marburg virus disease

Ebola virus disease

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

History

Marburg virus disease

Ebola virus disease

The warning signs of ultra-deadly 'eye-bleeding' Marburg virus you NEED to know as 11 die and UK Gov issues alert

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

Marburg is an especially scary virus. How scared should we be of Rwanda's outbreak?

NPR Online News•Oct 2, 2024

US Deploys Experts to Deal With Deadly Ebola-Like Outbreak

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

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Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?