Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will China officially allow accessing and editing Wikipedia before January 1, 2030?

6
2
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction4.8% (1% - 12.6%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4.8%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
chipm
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Computing and Math
Social Sciences
State Council of the People's Republic of China
China
Wikipedia

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