Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
43
46 comments
46
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
238
Community Prediction
10%
Make a Prediction
community: 10%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Background Info
Histogram
median
10.0%
mean
15.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Pandemic Series (2018)
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Pandemic
Virology
Public health
Medicine
Influenza pandemic
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Pandemic Series (2018)
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Pandemic
Virology
Public health
Medicine
Influenza pandemic
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
The US is ramping up bird flu surveillance – but will it be enough?
New Scientist
•
Oct 8, 2024
The end of smallpox was ... the beginning for mpox
NPR Online News
•
Oct 8, 2024
As bird flu outbreak expands in California, dairy farms report it’s worse than they expected
CNN
•
Oct 8, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
The US is ramping up bird flu surveillance – but will it be enough?
New Scientist
•
Oct 8, 2024
The end of smallpox was ... the beginning for mpox
NPR Online News
•
Oct 8, 2024
As bird flu outbreak expands in California, dairy farms report it’s worse than they expected
CNN
•
Oct 8, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
4%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?
8%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
1%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
4%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?
8%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
1%
Show More Questions