Question

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction2055-05-23 (2042-05-05 - 2080-08-27)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2240-01-01

...

2042-05-05 05:36

2055-05-23 23:03

2080-08-27 13:54

0.2%

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Authors:

IRWearthlights

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Neuroscience

Biomedical engineering

China

Brain–computer interface

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2025 Will Be Smart Glasses All the Way Down

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When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

41.7%

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

2030-11-17

Comments

? comments

Authors:

IRWearthlights

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Neuroscience

Biomedical engineering

China

Brain–computer interface

In 2025 Gen AI Will Slow (Sundar Pichai) Or Sprint (Sam Altman)

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

2025 Will Be Smart Glasses All the Way Down

Wired•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

41.7%

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

2030-11-17

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

Make a Prediction

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Comments

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?