Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

1
2
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction12% (9% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 12%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
IY
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Technology
2024-2025 Leaderboard
BP
Gulf of Mexico
Kaskida Oil Field
Transocean
Deepwater Horizon oil spill

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