Question

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction12%

Make a Prediction

community: 12%

median 12.0%mean 25.2%

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Scheduled resolution:

Deepwater Horizon oil spill

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

30%

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

35%

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Deepwater Horizon oil spill

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Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

30%

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

35%

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

50%

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Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Make a Prediction

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

Comments

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?