🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Between June 1 and June 15, 2024, what will be the strongest geomagnetic storm observed on Earth?

6
3
43 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 43

Make a Prediction

Kp IndexMe
Resolved6.0 to 6.667
97.4%
Less than 5.0
0.1%
5.0 to 5.667
0.1%
7.0 to 7.667
1.4%
8.0 to 8.667
0.5%
9.0
0.5%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?6.0 to 6.667

Community Baseline Score
44.0
Community Peer Score
35.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments