Question

Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

42.4

Community Peer Score

16.7

median 15.0%mean 21.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Division of Select Agents and Toxins

1984 Rajneeshee bioterror attack

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-09-01

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Comments

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