MetaculusM

Question

Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case?

Resolved :No

8

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.2

Community Peer Score

18.8

median 1.0%mean 2.4%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trump spokesperson whitewashes record with indefinite sentencing delay remarks

AlterNet•Nov 23, 2024

How All Of Trump’s Criminal Cases Fell Apart—As Hush Money Sentencing Now Postponed

Forbes•Nov 23, 2024

Trump Clinches Another Win in Hush Money Case. How Some Libs Reacted.

Townhall•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trump spokesperson whitewashes record with indefinite sentencing delay remarks

AlterNet•Nov 23, 2024

How All Of Trump’s Criminal Cases Fell Apart—As Hush Money Sentencing Now Postponed

Forbes•Nov 23, 2024

Trump Clinches Another Win in Hush Money Case. How Some Libs Reacted.

Townhall•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch