🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will South Africa elect a president before July 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes90%
5
5
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction90% (85% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
29.0
Community Peer Score
15.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
pedroacosta
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
National Assembly of South Africa
South Africa
Electoral Commission of South Africa
African National Congress

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