Question

Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?

Resolved :No29%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction29% (20% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

24.2

Community Peer Score

30.6

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

United States biological weapons program

Aleph (Japanese cult)

Soviet biological weapons program

Medicine

Virology

Is Bird Flu a Potential Pandemic? Dangers of the Outbreak Explained

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

The Conspiracy World Is Pushing Paranoia About a Post-Inauguration “Plandemic”

Mother Jones•Dec 14, 2024

Funding Bill Includes Cash For a DOZEN Biolabs to ‘Research’/Engineer New Viruses

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

32%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-08-27

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

United States biological weapons program

Aleph (Japanese cult)

Soviet biological weapons program

Medicine

Virology

Is Bird Flu a Potential Pandemic? Dangers of the Outbreak Explained

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

The Conspiracy World Is Pushing Paranoia About a Post-Inauguration “Plandemic”

Mother Jones•Dec 14, 2024

Funding Bill Includes Cash For a DOZEN Biolabs to ‘Research’/Engineer New Viruses

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

32%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-08-27

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Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?