Question

Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction29%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

24.2

Community Peer Score

30.6

median 29.0%mean 32.0%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

United States biological weapons program

Aleph (Japanese cult)

Soviet biological weapons program

Medicine

Virology

Microbiology

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

32%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-09-01

Comments

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