Question

How many homicides will there be in London in 2019?

Resolved :149129

17 comments17

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction129 (113 - 146)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>250

...

112.8

128.5

145.7

0.9%

What was the final result?149

Community Baseline Score

44.1

Community Peer Score

3.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Greater London

Metropolitan Police Service

London

United Kingdom

Crown Prosecution Service

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Breitbart•Dec 23, 2024

Weekend violence — including a sleeping woman burned to death on Brooklyn train — propels NYC subway murder tally to 25-year high: cops

New York Post•Dec 24, 2024

Man charged with murder of Elizabeth line worker in east London

Guardian•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

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