Question

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

Resolved :No5%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters155

Community Prediction5% (3% - 12%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

59.6

Community Peer Score

31.1

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 15, 2016

Closes:

Jun 15, 2018

Resolves:

Dec 27, 2019

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Soviet Union

Foot-and-mouth disease

Rinderpest

Classical swine fever

1984 Rajneeshee bioterror attack

List of designated terrorist groups

Veterinary medicine

Zoology

Animal science

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When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-08-27

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

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