🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

2024 US election considered fraudulent?

Resolved :No
16 forecasters
if yes
if no

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

51%
51%
Resolved :Annulled51%

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

45%
45%
Resolved :No45%
1

Make a Prediction

2024 US election considered fraudulent?

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

50%
community: 51%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Conditional Cup
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Associated Press
Fox News
US Electoral College
Donald Trump
Morning Consult
William Barr
Faith Spotted Eagle
The Washington Post
2016 US presidential election

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