Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters239

Community Prediction50% (13% - 86%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jan 13, 2019

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 15, 2101

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Ragnarök Series

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

23.9%

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