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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

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Total Forecasters145

Community Prediction8% (4% - 15%)

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50%

community: 8%

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Tamay

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Scheduled resolution:

Weapon of mass destruction

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Weapon of mass destruction

How many species could go extinct from climate change? It depends on how hot it gets.

NPR Online News•Dec 8, 2024

Daily Mail•Dec 8, 2024

What Would World War III Look Like?

Newsweek•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?