Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Slate Star Codex Survey Mini-Series: Less support for psychiatric commitment among the committed?

Resolved :Yes64%
3
13
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction64% (60% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 64%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
46.1
Community Peer Score
1.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2019 Leaderboard
Scott Alexander
Involuntary commitment
Psychiatry
Medicine

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