Question

How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

27 comments27

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction283k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3M

...

166k

283k

507k

2.7%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Yemen

United Nations

Saudi Arabian-led intervention in Yemen

Yemeni Civil War (2015–present)

Famine in Yemen (2016–present)

Norwegian Refugee Council

Save the Children

UNICEF

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

35%

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

37%

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Yemen

United Nations

Saudi Arabian-led intervention in Yemen

Yemeni Civil War (2015–present)

Famine in Yemen (2016–present)

Norwegian Refugee Council

Save the Children

UNICEF

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

35%

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

37%

MetaculusM

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How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?

Make a Prediction

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Comments

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?