Question

Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?

Resolved :No32%

1 comment1

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction32% (19% - 43%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

42.3

Community Peer Score

18.4

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Virology

Military science

Epidemiology

Biological Weapons Convention

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Genetics

Bioethics

Medicine

Middle East respiratory syndrome

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30%

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

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