Question

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

148

242 comments242

Total Forecasters1230

Community Prediction31%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 31%

median 31.0%mean 33.4%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

10%

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

4.12

Will a world war begin before 2151?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World War III Warning Issued by Retired General

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 18, 2024

Could Biden's Ukraine Missile Move Trigger World War III? Experts' Verdicts

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

10%

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

4.12

Will a world war begin before 2151?

60%