M

Question

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Total Forecasters2328
Community Prediction22% (14.5% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 22%
4
All five geographical regions defined by SIPRI saw rises in military spending for the first time since 2009, with Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania recording particularly large increases.
The United States has activated contingency plans to save Taiwan, which includes the use of tactical nuclear weapons, indicating a potential for nuclear escalation in the region.
The PRC's support for Russia's defense industrial base has been identified by NATO as increasing the threat to Euro-Atlantic security, potentially escalating tensions that could lead to a broader conflict.
-1
Russia's military expenditure increased by almost 30% in 2023, with the Kremlin spending roughly 7.5% of its GDP on the military.
Authors:
Opened:Jan 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050

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