🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If a government is formed in South Africa before July 1, 2024, which parties will form the government?

4
2
31 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 31

Make a Prediction

PartiesMe
ResolvedANC and DA, but not MKP
97%
ANC and MKP, but not DA
1%
ANC, MKP, and DA
1%
Other
1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?ANC and DA, but not MKP

Community Baseline Score
15.1
Community Peer Score
7.6
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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