Question

Will Carnegie Mellon be the top university accepted to NeurIPS 2019?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction39%

Make a Prediction

community: 39%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

29.6

Community Peer Score

2.4

median 39.0%mean 37.4%

Authors:

DanielFilan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Carnegie Mellon University

International Conference on Machine Learning

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

2029-06-29

On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?

On December 31st, 2024, which organization will have the most intelligent publicly available AI model as judged by members of the Samotsvety forecasting group?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DanielFilan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Carnegie Mellon University

International Conference on Machine Learning

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When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

2029-06-29

On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?

On December 31st, 2024, which organization will have the most intelligent publicly available AI model as judged by members of the Samotsvety forecasting group?