Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

conditional

condition

FLiRT Variants Reach 75% Proportion in 2024?

Resolved :No

11 forecasters

if yes

if no

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

4.84

Resolved :Annulled

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

4.85

Resolved :4.9

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

FLiRT Variants Reach 75% Proportion in 2024?	Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

My Prediction

community

<1.5

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15

...

8.4%

4.625

4.839

5.514

12.8%

Forecast Timeline

if No

if Yes

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Conditional Cup

Health & Pandemics

Virology

2020 coronavirus pandemic in the Netherlands

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Conditional Cup

Health & Pandemics

Virology

2020 coronavirus pandemic in the Netherlands

When will greenhouse gas emissions finally peak? Could be soon

NPR Online News•Nov 14, 2024

Last month was the second hottest October on RECORD: Global average temperatures hit 15.32°C - and scientists say 2024 is 'virtually certain' to be the warmest ever

Daily Mail•Nov 15, 2024

When will global greenhouse gas emissions peak? -…

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.02