Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

conditional

condition

FLiRT Variants Reach 75% Proportion in 2024?

Resolved :No

11 forecasters

if yes

if no

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

4.84

Resolved :Annulled4.84

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

4.85

Resolved :4.94.85

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

FLiRT Variants Reach 75% Proportion in 2024?	Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

My Prediction

community

<1.5

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15

...

8.4%

4.625

4.839

5.514

12.8%

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Forecast Timeline

if No

if Yes

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2020 coronavirus pandemic in the Netherlands

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID’s End-of-Year Surprise

Atlantic•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2020 coronavirus pandemic in the Netherlands

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID’s End-of-Year Surprise

Atlantic•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

2.01

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

FLiRT Variants Reach 75% Proportion in 2024?

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

Make a Prediction

FLiRT Variants Reach 75% Proportion in 2024?

Magnitude of Spring/Summer 2024 COVID Peak?

Forecast Timeline

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

Comments

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?