M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

conditional

Make a Prediction

2024 US popular vote: 3rd party at least 5%?

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

community: 50%

Forecast Timeline



Comments

? comments