🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many deliveries will Tesla report in the second quarter of 2024?

Resolved :444k421k
5
6
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction421k (416k - 430k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<370k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>480k
...
...
...
...
...
1.2%
415.6k
421.5k
429.6k
1.5%

What was the final result?444k

Community Baseline Score
8.7
Community Peer Score
24.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2024 Leaderboard
Tesla

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