🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many days will the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in the 3rd quarter of 2024?

5
11
54 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 54

Make a Prediction

Number of DaysMe
Resolved1
99%
2-5
0.8%
6-10
0.1%
11 or more
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?1

Community Baseline Score
33.7
Community Peer Score
32.3
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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