🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Trump, Biden or a moderator say "deepfake" in the CNN debate in Atlanta on June 27, 2024?

Resolved :No40%
6
15
Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction40% (29.1% - 52%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
21.3
Community Peer Score
18.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
Artificial Intelligence
2024 Leaderboard
CNN
Jake Tapper
Dana Bash
Atlanta
Joe Biden
Donald Trump

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