Question

Will Trump, Biden or a moderator say "deepfake" in the CNN debate in Atlanta on June 27, 2024?

Resolved :No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

21.3

Community Peer Score

18.1

median 40.0%mean 40.4%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Artificial Intelligence

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

68%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Artificial Intelligence

Memes, photojournalism and television debates: 3 images that defined the 2024 US election

AlterNet•Nov 12, 2024

Generative disinfo is real — you’re just not the target, warns deepfake tracking nonprofit

TechCrunch•Nov 13, 2024

AI’s Fingerprints Were All Over the Election

Atlantic•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

68%