🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
4
19
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.2
Community Peer Score
15.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
wd28
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War

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