🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

Resolved :Yes
28 forecasters
if yes
if no

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

98%
98%
Resolved :Yes98%

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

85%
85%
Resolved :Annulled85%
4
1

Make a Prediction

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

50%
community: 98%
Community Baseline Score
17.1
Community Peer Score
21.1
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Conditional Cup
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

? comments