Question

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction8%

Make a Prediction

community: 8.4%

median 8.4%mean 7.7%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine Sempervivens samuelrlevin

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Technology

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

55%

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine Sempervivens samuelrlevin

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Technology

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High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

55%

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

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Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

Make a Prediction

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Comments

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?