Question

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

no comments0

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

community: 55%

median 55.0%mean 54.9%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Economy & Business

Technology

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Economy & Business

Technology

Harvesting hops for beer produces a lot of waste. These German groups are seeking to fix that

Associated Press•Oct 1, 2024

Stretchy dairy cheese now possible without cows, company says

Guardian•Oct 1, 2024

Eight Scientists, a Billion Dollars, and the Moonshot Agency Trying to Make Britain Great Again

Wired•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Comments

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?