Question

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

no comments0

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction20% (2% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Technology

Tough But Doable? Financing Net Zero May Require $4 Trillion By 2050

Forbes•Feb 13, 2025

Carbon-neutral hydrogen can be produced from farm waste

New Scientist•Feb 14, 2025

Humans Will Continue to Live in an Age of Incredible Food Waste

Wired•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Biomass gasification hits 500M tons by 2050? → Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

35%

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

54.9%

Comments

? comments