Question

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

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Community Prediction35% (35% - 35%)

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50%

community: 35%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

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Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

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Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

55%

Biomass gasification hits 500M tons by 2050? → Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?

Comments

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Technology

High rises made out of wood? What matters in whether ‘mass timber’ buildings are sustainable

The Conversation•Dec 13, 2024

Where Does Corporate Climate Action Go in 2025?

Time•Dec 14, 2024

Creating a Global Package to Solve the Problem of Plastics

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

55%

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Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Biomass gasification hits 500M tons by 2050? → Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?

Comments

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Biomass gasification hits 500M tons by 2050? → Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Biomass gasification hits 500M tons by 2050? → Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Biomass gasification hits 500M tons by 2050? → Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?