Question

By 2030, will there be a synthetic protein fiber costing less than nylon?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction2% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Jul 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

A startup plans to make money from reviving the woolly mammoth. Here's how.

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

From high school science project to $18.3M: AI-accelerated enzymes are coming for fast fashion’s plastic waste

TechCrunch•Mar 5, 2025

The colossal challenge of making a mammoth requires a lot of data centers

•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon? → Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?

2038-04-19

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

54.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Jul 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

A startup plans to make money from reviving the woolly mammoth. Here's how.

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

From high school science project to $18.3M: AI-accelerated enzymes are coming for fast fashion’s plastic waste

TechCrunch•Mar 5, 2025

The colossal challenge of making a mammoth requires a lot of data centers

•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon? → Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?

2038-04-19

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

54.9%