Question

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

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Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction22% (12% - 23.3%)

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community: 22%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

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Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

Climate Change Trial at The Hague

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%? → 0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

2039-08-01

Comments

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

Climate Change Trial at The Hague

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%? → 0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

2039-08-01

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Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

Make a Prediction

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%? → 0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Comments

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%? → 0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%? → 0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%? → 0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?