Question

Pandemic series: federal funding of "gain of function research of concern" in 2016-18?

Resolved :Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters59

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

2.1

Community Peer Score

12.0

median 50.0%mean 51.2%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Middle East respiratory syndrome

United States

Medicine

University of Cambridge

Virology

Severe acute respiratory syndrome

National Science Advisory Board for Biosecurity

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

59%

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

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