0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

conditional

condition

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

74%

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

18%

no comments0

Make a Prediction

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%?	0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 74%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

Genetic tweak to three key crops massively boosts their growth

New Scientist•Dec 19, 2024

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

Geoengineering Act Federal Law by 2025? → US climate emissions halved by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

Genetic tweak to three key crops massively boosts their growth

New Scientist•Dec 19, 2024

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%?

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

Make a Prediction

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%?

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

Forecast Timeline

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Geoengineering Act Federal Law by 2025? → US climate emissions halved by 2030?

Comments

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Geoengineering Act Federal Law by 2025? → US climate emissions halved by 2030?

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Geoengineering Act Federal Law by 2025? → US climate emissions halved by 2030?

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

Geoengineering Act Federal Law by 2025? → US climate emissions halved by 2030?