MetaculusM

Question

Will the number of Yellow-Vests-affiliated protesters in France decline?

Resolved :Yes59%

5

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction59% (50% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 59%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

29.7

Community Peer Score

13.6

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2019 Leaderboard

Yellow vests movement

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Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

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Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2019 Leaderboard

Yellow vests movement

Can François Bayrou unite France’s moderates? Marine Le Pen looms if he fails | Paul Taylor

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Does Francois Bayrou Have A Chance As French Prime Minister?

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

Le Pen Preparing for Early Presidential Election, 'It’s over or Almost' For Macron

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch