🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many of these Cabinet ministers will fail to be re-elected to the House of Commons at the next UK election?

Resolved :1519.5
2
10
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction19.5 (16.6 - 21.8)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
16.61
19.48
21.77

What was the final result?15

Community Baseline Score
10.5
Community Peer Score
16.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
GOLDEN-BLUE
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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