Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

conditional

condition

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

65%

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

35%

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Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?	Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 65%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Health & Pandemics

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

45%

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Health & Pandemics

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Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

45%

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%