Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

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Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

65%

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

35%

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Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?	Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?
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50%

community: 65%

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johnnycaffeine

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Synthetic Biology at Scale

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Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

43%

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Health & Pandemics

Stage 4 breast cancer patient given 2 years to live survives with ‘fourth pillar’ of treatments

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

43%

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

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Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Make a Prediction

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Forecast Timeline

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Comments

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?