Question

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2019?

Resolved :No70%

41 comments41

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction70% (68% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-130.4

Community Peer Score

19.2

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jan 17, 2019

Closes:

Mar 15, 2019

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2020

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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2×10²⁵

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87.1%

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

6.07M

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